Opportunity rank #79 (cash-flow board) · Hong Kong

Hong Kong residential buy-to-let, costed: the duties are gone and rents are at records — and mortgage rates still exceed the gross yield

Our take: Below the bar
1.8–2.4% Hong Kong residential buy-to-let full-cost net yield (derived basis) · Operator estimate · Data as of: 2026-01-31

Composite-board score: 4.6 · Where it is strong: Tax friendliness, Net cash flow · methodology

Data updated: 2026-11-08

Hong Kong's institutional barriers for foreign buyers have been cleared to zero: on 28 February 2024 all cooling measures were abolished (BSD, SSD and NRSD gone), and foreigners pay the same AVD Scale 2 as locals (HK$100 up to HK$4M, topping at 4.25%). The door is open; the arithmetic is shut: gross rental yields are only 3.4–3.6% (RVD basis, Class A at 3.6%), and after rates and government rent, management, voids and repairs, and the 15% property tax, the full-cost net is about 1.8–2.4% (this site's costing). The decisive line is on the financing side: mainstream mortgage pricing of about 3.5% already exceeds the gross yield — a leveraged purchase is negative-carry from day one; the rent does not cover the interest. The backdrop is equally counter-intuitive: the rental index is at an all-time record (200.7, +4.3% in 2025), but prices rose 3.25% the same year — numerator and denominator rising together leaves the yield standing still; and prices remain about 25% below the 2021 peak, so the 'repair' is one year old. Rated below-bar explainer: with Germany (No. 74) and Canada (No. 63) it forms a contrast set — Germany is regulation-capped, Canada is tax-capped, Hong Kong is price-and-rate-capped; three different presses, one conclusion. On status: the CIES's HK$30M portfolio scheme (queued in the identity hub) has nothing to do with buying a small flat to let.

In short: four lines first

What it costs to get in

Small units in the HK$4–8M range plus AVD

Roughly what it earns

1.8–2.4%(Hong Kong residential buy-to-let full-cost net yield (derived basis))

How much work for you

Heavy burden (management by agent for absentee owners, costed in)

The biggest catch

This entry is itself the conclusion: a net of about 1.8–2.4% against a negative-carry financing structure fails on the cash-flow dimension — a costing result that rent headlines do not change (when rents and prices rise together, the yield does not move).

The numbers that matter

Hong Kong residential buy-to-let full-cost net yield (derived basis)
1.8–2.4%

Why we think it makes money

It corrects a common misread: 'liberalisation equals opportunity'. The 2024 abolition is a genuine institutional positive, but it changed access, not yield — this site prints the abolition and the negative carry on one page so readers keep the two layers separate.

'Record rents, motionless yield' is a good lesson in yield arithmetic: yield is rent divided by price, and when both rise together the quotient does not move — anyone buying on rent headlines alone will systematically overstate returns.

Printing the negative carry has practical value: with mortgage rates above the gross yield, every leveraged year in Hong Kong residential starts cash-negative before appreciation is discussed — that single line is worth more than a hundred cautions.

How to actually get in

  1. This page is a costing explainer and offers no purchase route. The institutional facts are stated for self-verification: foreigners buy on the same AVD as locals (Scale 2); rental income bears property tax at 15% (on the net assessable value basis); there is no capital-gains tax.

What it costs, what it earns

Entry amount: Small units in the HK$4–8M range plus AVD
How much work for you: Heavy burden (management by agent for absentee owners, costed in)

Costs & taxes, item by item:

Basis: this site uses full-cost net returns only — income minus vacancy, management, maintenance, taxes and insurance, then financing interest, with entry costs in the denominator. See the methodology。

Identity & tax

Status (residency / citizenship)

新资本投资者入境计划(New CIES,2024-03-01 起)

This asset does not count toward the channel This asset leads to no status

Threshold: 净资产 ≥HK$3,000 万;投资 ≥HK$3,000 万(其中 CIES 投资组合 HK$300 万)

买 REIT 单位、买楼本身都不给身份。香港的投资移民是 New CIES(2024 年 3 月重启):须证明申请前 6 个月净资产 ≥HK$3,000 万并投资 ≥HK$3,000 万——≥HK$2,700 万投许可金融资产和/或房地产 + HK$300 万入 CIES 投资组合(香港投资管理有限公司管理)。房地产有顶:2025-09-17 起总上限 HK$1,500 万、住宅子上限 HK$1,000 万,且住宅须单宗成交 ≥HK$3,000 万才计入。住满 7 年可申永居。CIES 已列入本站身份枢纽的待评分队列;REIT 与住宅条目本身按纯现金流评估。

Source: InvestHK;香港入境事务处(New CIES 规则)

Tax (investor level)

租金收入缴物业税:应课税净值(租金扣差饷与 20% 修葺免税额后)的 15%;无资本利得税。

  • 买入印花税(2024-02-28 辣招全撤后):全体买家统一 AVD 第二标准——≤HK$400 万仅 HK$100(2025-02-26 起),累进至 >HK$2,173.9 万的 4.25%;2026-02-26 起 >HK$1 亿住宅升至 6.5%。无任何外国人附加税。

Double-tax treaties: 不动产所得在来源地征税为通行原则;香港与新加坡无全面税收协定覆盖个人租金的特殊安排,按香港本地规则执行。

Source: 《印花税(修订)条例 2024》;香港税务局

This section is general information only — not immigration or tax advice. Program rules change frequently; before acting, rely on the official texts and a licensed adviser.

Risks: what could go wrong

This entry is itself the conclusion: a net of about 1.8–2.4% against a negative-carry financing structure fails on the cash-flow dimension — a costing result that rent headlines do not change (when rents and prices rise together, the yield does not move). If these happen, our take changes: If Class A gross yields rise above 4.5% (RVD basis) with mortgage rates below the gross yield, this site recosts the entry.
The price repair's fragility: a 25% drawdown has had one year of repair; if the repair stalls, a 2%-ish net yield offers no cushion against price movement. If these happen, our take changes: Checked against the RVD price index's annual prints.
Tenancy and management burden: for a foreign landlord not in Hong Kong, the management radius (collection, repairs, tenancy compliance) is a real cost — this entry's hands-off score is the site's lowest class. If these happen, our take changes: None (execution property).

What we have not verified yet

The following key figures have not yet been verified; the reason is noted for each item.

FAQ

Rents are at records — why is the yield still only 3.5%?
Because prices rose too. Yield is annual rent divided by price: in 2025 the rental index rose 4.3% and the price index 3.25% — numerator and denominator moving together leaves the quotient still. Hong Kong residential's story is 'rents and prices repairing together', not 'rents outrunning prices' — for a rent-collector, it means the entry price has already banked most of the good rent news.
After the 2024 abolition, is there any hidden foreigner tax left?
No. The BSD (the foreigner-specific buyer duty), the SSD (short-hold resale) and the NRSD were all abolished on 28 Feb 2024; what remains is the unified AVD Scale 2 for all buyers, the 15% property tax on rents during the hold, and no capital-gains tax on exit. On Hong Kong's barrier list, tax has been crossed off — what remains is the price, the rate and the yield itself. Any agent still costing a "foreigner surcharge" for you is working from material at least two years old.
No leverage, then — buy outright for rent?
The negative carry disappears, but opportunity cost appears: an outright net of 1.8–2.4% faces Link's 6.2% run-rate on the same page (same currency, zero withholding, daily liquidity) and HKD deposit rates besides. An outright purchase for rent in Hong Kong is a decision to swap liquidity for a physical asset, comprehensively dominated on cash flow by the listed option on this page (entry No. 77) — the comparison is printed side by side for the reader to weigh.

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Data dates are marked per metric; page updated 2026-11-08. This site publishes information and is not investment advice; the corrections channel is in the Disclaimer。