Opportunity rank #6 (cash-flow board) · Vietnam

Vietnam Industrial Factories / Warehouses (Tenanted, via a Foreign-Invested Enterprise)

Our take: Do, with conditions
Return unverified Primary metric is a claimed figure · Unverified

Composite-board score: 5.1 · Where it is strong: Net cash flow, Tax friendliness · methodology

Data updated: 2026-11-08

Overall rank #6. Vietnamese industrial property (factories/warehouses/sale-and-leaseback, SLB) is the physical asset on this board with the hardest growth evidence: realised FDI reached USD 27.62 billion in 2025 (+9%), and newly registered capital in the first 10 months of 2026 set a record since 2009. Ready-built factory asking rents are about USD 5.0–5.3/sq m/month with occupancy about 81–87%, and on JLL's basis the northern logistics market yield is 8.2%. But the previously listed "claimed 6–8%+" needs its basis corrected: the current version of its source, the Velox page, no longer contains that figure anywhere. Align the three verifiable things instead — gross market yield about 8.2% (JLL), net initial yield of 7.2% in Savills' illustrative SLB model, and no verified basis yet for the investor-level net figure. This page's verdict is "do, with conditions": only tenanted assets + long NNN leases + lump-sum-paid land rent; no bare land and no new development.

In short: four lines first

What it costs to get in

High

Roughly what it earns

声称 6–8%+(Net return)

How much work for you

Medium (park operator)

The biggest catch

No verified basis for net returns: the current version of the Velox source page behind the previously listed "claimed 6–8%+" no longer contains that figure (re-checked on 8 Nov 2026 — the whole page has no occurrence of the word "yield"). JLL's 8.2% is a northern logistics market yield (gross basis, before holding and operating costs); Savills' 7.2% is an illustrative model value. None of the three is an investor-level net return.

The numbers that matter

Ready-built factory asking rents (North)
4.5–5.3 USD/m²/月
Ready-built warehouse occupancy (North)
85.3–85.7%
Industrial land asking price (North, full lease term)
137.7–143 USD/m²/租期
Corporate income tax (2025 law)
20%
FDI disbursement (Jan–Oct 2026)
24.08 USD bn
Figures we have not verified (shown for reference only, never used for conclusions):

Why we think it makes money

The demand side is hard data. Vietnam's realised FDI reached USD 27.62 billion in 2025 (+9%), with manufacturing accounting for about 59% of realised capital. Newly registered capital in the first 10 months of 2026 was USD 30.73 billion, about 2.2 times the prior year (the General Statistics Office, via Vietnam News Agency) — a record total since 2009, with manufacturing at 47.5% of new registrations and Singapore the largest source country. Electronics, semiconductors and "China+1" capacity relocation are the main source of growth; FTSE Russell's upgrade of Vietnam to emerging-market status in Sep 2026 further opens the allocation channel for institutional money.

Rents and occupancy have institutional series. Q2 2026: ready-built factory asking rents about USD 5.0–5.3/sq m/month in the north (JLL/CBRE) and about USD 5.0 in the south (JLL); occupancy 81.2–82.7% in northern prime markets and 86.8% in the south. Northern ready-built warehouse rents are about USD 4.9–5.1 with occupancy 85.7% (C&W). Northern industrial land asking prices are about USD 137.7–143/sq m/lease term. The mutually corroborating range is: rents USD 4.5–5.3, occupancy around 80%.

There are three layers of yield anchor, and each needs its basis labelled. On JLL's basis, the northern logistics market yield is 8.2% (unchanged for two years, gross basis). Savills' illustrative sale-and-leaseback (SLB) model — a 25,000 sq m logistics warehouse, sale price USD 20 million, rent USD 5.00/sq m/month, NNN structure — gives a net initial yield of 7.2%. Historical SLB transactions disclosed by Savills: Mapletree/Unilever (2018) at 8.3%, Di An (2020) at over 9.0%. The board's original "6–8%+" figure itself falls inside this band, but its source page no longer shows the number — this site uses these three sourced anchors instead, each with its basis labelled.

Structure determines the return. Vietnamese SLB leases are mostly 10–20 years, NNN, with 3–5% annual escalations, and a parent-company guarantee is close to a necessity. Only assets with lump-sum land rent paid can support a full SLB, and assets with under 30 years remaining are discounted steeply. In other words, for the same factory, a gross lease and a long NNN lease differ by an order of magnitude in net terms — buying industrial property means buying the contract structure first, and the bricks second.

How to actually get in

  1. Choose the structure: prefer already-tenanted ready-built factories/warehouses with a sale-and-leaseback (SLB) or a long NNN lease — 10–20 year terms, 3–5% annual escalations, the tenant bearing property tax/insurance/repairs. Only assets whose land rent has been paid in a lump sum can support a full SLB; assets on annually paid land rent can only transfer part of the property.
  2. Set up the vehicle: a wholly foreign-owned FIE (100% shareholding) via investment registration (IRC) plus enterprise registration (ERC). Acquiring an asset inside an industrial park requires the park management board's approval of the land-use-right transfer.
  3. Vet the land: look only at assets with lump-sum land rent paid, with at least 30 years of term remaining (below 30 years the discount is steep). Check the full document set: land use right certificate, environmental assessment, fire safety, construction permits. Reference land price: northern industrial land asking prices are about USD 137.7–143/sq m/lease term.
  4. Vet the tenant: a parent-company guarantee is close to a necessity in Vietnamese SLBs; tenant credit matters more than the building's finish — first-tier multinational tenants, more than 10 years of lease remaining, rent priced off construction cost and sector benchmarks (example rent for logistics space near Ho Chi Minh City: USD 5.00/sq m/month). ESG/LEED-certified assets carry a rent premium.
  5. Model the tax: model case by case under the 2025 Corporate Income Tax Law — standard rate 20%, and industrial-park projects no longer receive the automatic "2 years exempt + 4 years at half". Existing projects keep their approved incentives until expiry. Large enterprises must also consider the global minimum tax (Pillar Two) top-up.

What it costs, what it earns

Entry amount: High
How much work for you: Medium (park operator)

Costs & taxes, item by item:

Basis: this site uses full-cost net returns only — income minus vacancy, management, maintenance, taxes and insurance, then financing interest, with entry costs in the denominator. See the methodology。

Identity & tax

Status (residency / citizenship)

越南 DT 投资签证(DT3 起)

This asset counts toward the channel Residency channel

Threshold: 企业实缴出资 ≥ 30 亿越南盾(约 US$11.5 万)

工业厂房/仓储以越南公司真实出资持有运营,达到 DT3 门槛可支撑 ≤3 年临时居留卡(DT2/DT1 门槛为 500 亿/1,000 亿越南盾);买房不算出资。越南没有黄金签证。

Source: 越南 Law 47/2014(经 Law 118/2025 修订)

Tax (investor level)

企业所得税优惠已改制:2025 年新 CIT 法取消园区自动优惠,改按行业/地区清单逐项适用,签约前须逐案核。

  • 企业所得税:标准 20%;优惠按 67/2025/QH15 新法清单适用(园区自动优惠取消)。
  • 个人出租:5% VAT + 5% PIT 按毛收入计(Circular 40/2021)。
  • 转让:个人按全额售价 2% 计 PIT。

Double-tax treaties: 越南有 80 多个税收协定,中国、新加坡、印度均在列并生效;协定减免须凭税务居住证明申请。

Source: 越南 67/2025/QH15 企业所得税法;Circular 40/2021/TT-BTC

This section is general information only — not immigration or tax advice. Program rules change frequently; before acting, rely on the official texts and a licensed adviser.

Risks: what could go wrong

No verified basis for net returns: the current version of the Velox source page behind the previously listed "claimed 6–8%+" no longer contains that figure (re-checked on 8 Nov 2026 — the whole page has no occurrence of the word "yield"). JLL's 8.2% is a northern logistics market yield (gross basis, before holding and operating costs); Savills' 7.2% is an illustrative model value. None of the three is an investor-level net return. If these happen, our take changes: If an institution publishes a net-return series for Vietnamese industrial property, or two or more recent (post-2024) SLB transactions disclose their yields, the return range can be upgraded to a citable basis. Conversely, if even the gross-yield basis is revised down, this page's "do, with conditions" verdict is lowered to "wait".
A supply wave and conflicting bases: about 640,000 sq m of new warehouse space enters the northern market in H2 2026, and about 1.7 million sq m of new factory space is due in the south over 2026–2028. New supply has already pushed northern ready-built factory prime-market occupancy down to 82.7% (CBRE, −3.6 percentage points quarter on quarter). For the same market, JLL gives northern prime warehouse vacancy of 32.7% while C&W gives ready-built warehouse occupancy of 85.7% — the survey scopes differ, and underwriting on any single figure will misjudge. If these happen, our take changes: If net absorption exceeds new supply for two consecutive quarters and C&W/CBRE occupancy recovers above 88%, the supply risk is downgraded. If JLL-basis vacancy rises above 35%, the verdict is lowered.
Tax incentives abolished: the new Corporate Income Tax Law (67/2025/QH15, effective 1 Oct 2025) removed industrial parks from the automatic-incentive locations — projects newly established after 2025 no longer automatically receive "2 exempt + 4 at half". Existing projects keep their approved incentives until expiry, and transitional rules are still being issued. Large enterprises also face the global minimum tax (Pillar Two) top-up. After-tax returns can only be modelled case by case; do not extrapolate from the old rules. If these happen, our take changes: If the target project obtains a sector incentive (for example, 10% for 15 years for high technology) or transitional treatment for existing incentives is confirmed, the after-tax return is re-estimated on the incentive basis. If later rules tighten transitional protection for existing projects, the premium on existing assets gives back.
Grid and energy costs: in 2023 the north suffered rolling power cuts from heat and low water inflows. After EVN's average retail price rose a cumulative 18.2% from 2023 to May 2025, it was cut for the first time only on 1 Nov 2026, by about 2%. Electricity prices and power cuts hit tenants (manufacturers) first, then transmit into renewal and vacancy risk. If these happen, our take changes: If the northern grid expansion under PDP8 lands and two consecutive summers pass without large-scale power cuts, the grid risk is downgraded. If electricity prices rise two years running again and park power cuts recur, tenant costs and vacancy risk rise together.
Land and lease term: foreigners cannot own land. Park land use rights run up to 50 years, or 70 in economic zones. Assets with under 30 years remaining are discounted steeply, and assets on annually paid land rent cannot support a full sale-and-leaseback. The 2024 Land Law moved to market-based pricing (provincial land price tables apply from 2026); annual land rent follows five-year stability cycles, with resets capped at the prior five years' cumulative CPI (verified), so the uncertainty concentrates in cycle-switch years and provincial execution. If these happen, our take changes: If the target asset has lump-sum land rent paid, more than 40 years of term remaining, and a complete set of LURC, environmental, fire-safety and construction permits, the structure risk is downgraded to a routine due-diligence item.

What we have not verified yet

The following key figures have not yet been verified; the reason is noted for each item.

FAQ

Can foreigners buy Vietnamese industrial property?
You cannot own the land itself. What you can buy is the land use right plus the assets on it: a wholly foreign-owned company takes a land use right inside an industrial park (up to 50 years; up to 70 in economic zones), or enters by acquiring a tenanted factory/warehouse with a sale-and-leaseback (SLB). The acquisition needs the park management board's approval of the land-use-right transfer, and only assets with lump-sum land rent paid qualify — assets on annually paid land rent cannot support a full SLB.
Is the "6–8% net return" real?
It is not verified. Colliers once cited JLL's northern logistics "market yield" of 8.2% (a gross basis, before holding costs). Savills' illustrative sale-and-leaseback model gives a net initial yield of 7.2% (a 25,000 sq m, USD 20 million, NNN example — not a project on the market). The board's original source page for the "claimed 6–8%+" no longer contains that figure in its current version. Aligning the three on one basis: gross market yield about 8%, modelled net initial yield (NNN structure) 7.2%, and the investor-level net figure still has to be computed deal by deal.
What is an SLB, and why is it the preferred structure?
Sale-and-leaseback: a company sells its own factory/warehouse to an investor and simultaneously signs a 10–20 year NNN lease to keep using it, with 3–5% annual escalations and a parent-company guarantee. This site lists it as the first choice because it is the only structure in which a foreign passive investor can lock in long-lease cash flow from the day of purchase. Historical cases disclosed by Savills: Mapletree/Unilever (2018, 66,800 sq m, net initial yield 8.3%) and Di An (2020, 36,000 sq m, over 9.0%) — both noted as broker-disclosed and dating back some years.
What does the end of park tax incentives mean for me?
The 2025 Corporate Income Tax Law (effective 1 Oct 2025) abolished automatic industrial-park tax incentives: park projects newly established after 2025 no longer automatically receive "2 years exempt + 4 years at half" and must apply case by case by sector and region (sectors such as high technology can still receive preferences like 10% for 15 years). Existing projects keep their approved incentives until expiry. When doing the sums, do not model "industrial park = tax-free" any more; start from the standard 20% rate.
What are rents and occupancy like now?
Institutional data (Q2 2026): ready-built factory asking rents are about USD 5.0–5.3/sq m/month (north) and USD 5.0 (south), with occupancy about 81–87%. Northern ready-built warehouse rents are about USD 4.9–5.1 with occupancy about 85.7% (C&W) — but on JLL's basis the vacancy rate for northern prime warehouses is 32.7%. The two houses survey different scopes, so neither can be used alone. Supply pressure is building: about 640,000 sq m of new warehouse space enters the northern market in H2 2026, and about 1.7 million sq m of new factory space is due in the south over 2026–2028.

Related opportunities

Get the free one-page brief

Get the one-page brief / subscribe for updates

Leave a contact and this page will immediately show a time-limited download link for the brief (valid 24 hours). This site only sends information — it will never pitch you a specific project or pass your contact to any project party.

For WhatsApp, use international format (E.164), e.g. +65 8123 4567.

Data dates are marked per metric; page updated 2026-11-08. This site publishes information and is not investment advice; the corrections channel is in the Disclaimer。